CertifiedPredict what's next
Revenue / Metric Forecast
“Where is this metric heading?”
Where a series is going, with a range around it.
01
What you receive
The forward path, with the range
A projection of the metric over a defined horizon, shown as a fan — the central path plus a confidence range. Every forecast ships with an out-of-sample validation scorecard and a data grade from your own history; horizons the data can't support are withheld, not guessed.
02
The question it answers
Bring it in plain language.
- “Where is this metric heading over the next few periods?
- “What's the realistic range around the trend?
- “How much confidence is in this projection?
What it does not do
- Explain WHY the metric will move
- Guarantee the outcome
- Account for events or interventions not in the history
- Identify individual customers
- Model the effect of changing media spend — that's a separate spend-response analysis
A dated history of the metric, ideally monthly, with enough history to establish trend and seasonality.
03
How it earns trust
Graded in the open, before you see it.
Proven on our published instrument. Re-certified on your data before anything releases.
Certified
Every forecast is tested on history it never saw, and ships with a validation scorecard and a data grade from your own numbers.
Out-of-sample validation
The forecast is scored on held-out history — trained on the past, tested on the future it hadn't seen — and beaten against a naive baseline. It ships with that scorecard and a data grade from your own numbers.
Honest intervals
The confidence range is calibrated to contain the outcome about as often as it claims to, measured on your own history — not a band drawn to look reassuring.
Withheld, not guessed
Horizons and confidence levels the data can't support are withheld rather than fabricated. A series too short to forecast honestly is refused.
Rigour you can inspect is worth more than rigour you're asked to trust.
Included in every tier.See pricing →